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Showing posts with label Government. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Government. Show all posts

Monday, January 22, 2018

Trump’s New SEC Chairman Fighting For Control Over Bitcoin






Summary

  • Many people are interested in cryptocurrencies, but are concerned about government intervention.
  • The SECs Chairman Jay Clayton made a statement about cryptos last month that was largely overlooked.
  • Clayton is doubling down on the “21(A) Report” at a time when his regulatory counterpart is embracing Bitcoin.
  • It appears a showdown is brewing: who controls the regulation of the fastest growing asset in the world.

I enjoy talking to people about the viability of bitcoin. It appears to have a different value proposition for everyone. For some, there is no value proposition because they are certain the government is going to shut it all down. These people are not stupid — they know their government. For this reason, I think it’s important to track statements made by government institutions like the Federal Reserve and the SEC pertaining to Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and ICOs.

SEC Chairman Jay Clayton

 

On December 11, 2017, the SEC issued a statement regarding Bitcoin and cryptocurrency.
“This statement,” said SEC Chairman Jay Clayton sworn in by Trump in January of 2017, “provides my general views on the cryptocurrency and ICO markets…
Among the more interesting points Clayton points out in his statement are the following:

1) “to date no initial coin offerings have been registered with the SEC.”

2) “The SEC also has not to date approved for listing and trading any exchange-traded 
products (such as ETFs) holding cryptocurrencies or other assets related to cryptocurrencies.

3) “If any person today tells you otherwise, be especially wary.

Translation: The SEC has not approved any crypto or ETF.

“Please also recognize,” Clayton goes on to say,
that these markets span national borders and that significant trading may occur on systems and platforms outside the United States. Your invested funds may quickly travel overseas without your knowledge. As a result, risks can be amplified, including the risk that market regulators, such as the SEC, may not be able to effectively pursue bad actors or recover funds.
It is Clayton’s job to protect investors, but I think he goes beyond that role here. In particular, he tells investors to be weary because at any point in time someone could run away with your money overseas — as if this can’t happen with other investments.

This is a specious argument. Your invested funds may quickly travel overseas if you invest in stocks as well. In fact, they very likely do. Corporations spend the money we invest with them overseas all the time, why not? So yeah, this is a risk, but nothing we aren’t already very much accustomed to with our current system of currency, which is over 90% digital.

On a good note, regarding ICOs, Clayton believes that:
initial coin offerings — whether they represent offerings of securities or not — can be effective ways for entrepreneurs and others to raise funding, including for innovative projects.
So that’s good, but he goes on to say that:
replacing a traditional corporate interest recorded in a central ledger with an enterprise interest recorded through a blockchain entry on a distributed ledger may change the form of the transaction, but it does not change the substance.
Translation: “The reason I like ICOs is because they’re essentially IPOs. If these are really IPOs, I (the SEC) should be regulating them.”









The 21(A) Report

 

Clayton has two options regarding his views on crypto. He can say that ICOs and cryptos are legal or illegal. Here Clayton does not mix words. He urges market professionals to use a document referred to as (the “21(A) Report) as legal precedent. The 21 Report is an investigative report released in July of 2017 in the SEC vs. The DAO.
“In the 21(A) Report,” Clayton says,
the Commission applied longstanding securities law principles to demonstrate that a particular token constituted an investment contract and therefore was a security under our federal securities laws.
He goes on to say that,
brokers, dealers and other market participants that allow for payments in cryptocurrencies, allow customers to purchase cryptocurrencies on margin, or otherwise use cryptocurrencies to facilitate securities transactions should exercise particular caution, including ensuring that their cryptocurrency activities are not undermining their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer obligations.
Or what? This statement may sound threatening to those worried about government intervention, but it’s more like the roar of a toothless tiger. Money laundering disclosures are a joke in the financial industry. Just during the week of Christmas, the Federal Register announced that the Trump Administration would be waiving fraud and corruption fines for Citigroup (5-year exemption), JPMorgan (5-year exemption), Barclays (5-year exemption), UBS (3-year exemption), and Deutsche Bank (3-year exemption). This is the same list of megabanks that the Obama Administration extended one-year waivers to as well, though it is particularly troubling that Trump, unlike Obama, owes these banks a large amount of money. Even if the exemptions weren’t in place, any fines rendered are a tenth of a percent of the profits made. What’s ironic is that the SEC has been rendered impotent over the last five years by the very institutions that are asking for its protections today.

 

What’s Next: Wall Street Is At Odds With Itself Over Bitcoin

In my next article we’ll continue to look at the battle brewing between the CFTC and the SEC. Both want control over this growing industry. On the one hand government regulators like the SEC want to shut Bitcoin down. On the other hand, the CFTC recently approved bitcoin futures contracts for several institutions including the CME, CBOE and Cantor Fitzgerald. Both sides have many stakeholders with deep pockets. My money is on Bitcoin.

Disclosure: I am/we are long cryptos. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions.

Saturday, June 11, 2016

Banks Are Transferring Regulatory Risk to 3rd Parties & Debt Growth Rate Hits 10-Yr Low Due To Government Spending

The Office of Financial Research published a brief titled More Transparency Needed For Bank Capital Relief Trades.  The brief suggests that banks are meeting regulatory capital rules by transferring credit risk to third parties. The paper uses data collected from 18 banks that purchased $38 billion in credit protection. The authors also attempt to estimate the impact of these third party transactions on a banks’ risk-based capital ratios. While this may represent a hole in regulatory policy, its impact is negligible due to the level of capitalization/liquidity in the market.

Source: Federal Reserve, Z.1 Release
The Federal Reserve published a statistical release update for Z.1: Financial Accounts of the United States Flow of Funds, Balance Sheets, and Integrated Macroeconomic Accounts. As shown to your right, it provides an update on household net worth and non-financial debt at the business, state, and federal level. On an annual basis, the statistic hasn't been lower than 3% for at least the past 10 years, however, Q1 of 2015 showed total growth in debt as 2.8% due primarily to a large drop in federal government spending, which is partially offset by the large increase in the growth of debt at the state and local government level.

Monday, March 2, 2015

Obama's Retirement Legacy: Government IRAs & Higher Fiduciary Standards


  • Last week was 'America Saves' week.
  • In its honor, the Treasury Department discussed the Administration's plans to make retirement plans and trusted financial advice available to anyone with a job.
  • In addition to rolling out myRA, a government backed retirement fund, Obama has also asked the Department of Labor to make a few changes.
It may seem an ironic thing to celebrate given the current rate environment, but last week was America Saves Week and The Treasury Department honored the week by announcing the roll out of the myRA program. President Obama also challenged the Labor Department to improve fiduciary standards for retirement products.

It was a little over a year ago that President Obama first announced the introduction of government-backed retirement accounts as a savings initiative. Referred to as a 'myRA', these government-backed retirement accounts earn interest at the same rate as investments in the government securities fund for federal employees. Managed by the Thrift Savings Plan (G Fund), the fund does not have a ticker because it is a trust regulated by the Comptroller of the Currency, not by the SEC.

These savings plans are specifically targeted at employees that don't have a pension or 401k option at their job -- the only requirements being a job and direct deposit. Like a Roth Individual Retirement Account, investors can invest dollars and withdraw earnings tax-free in retirement. You can also withdraw funds at any time without penalty, up to $15,000 per person. Once the account reaches $15,000 it's rolled over into a private sector IRA account. Unlike the Roth, however, funds will be invested solely in government bonds.

From a return perspective, the situation is slightly better than you may think. The chart below provides a 10-year summary of the 'G Fund' compared to other Funds managed by the government's Thrift Savings Plan.

(click to enlarge)
Source: Thrift Savings Plan

This G-fund has had an average annual return of 3% over the last ten years and an annual return of 2.31% in 2014, which while low is much better than the average annual savings rate.

President Obama also announced that he will be advising the Department of Labor to "update its rules relating to retirement advice". In a speech made last Monday Obama said, "If your business model rests on taking advantage of bilking hard-working Americans out of their retirement money, then you shouldn't be in business." This is a welcomed discussion as the number of seniors targeted for investment fraud grows due to new Reg D requirements which lift the 80 year ban on general advertising for private placements.

What the new rules will mean exactly is hard to say -- we won't know until we actually see them, but Obama's remarks clearly call for higher fiduciary standards on retirement products. The rule-making process will begin by soliciting "extensive public feedback" and you can stay informed on the process as it develops at TheGAFI.com.

To read the original statement as made by J. Mark Iwry, the Senior Adviser to the Secretary of the Treasury for Retirement and Health Policy, and the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Tax Policy, click here.

To learn more about myRA you can email myra@treasury.gov or call customer support at 855-406-myRA.

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If you like what you're reading, please join my mailing list to receive blog posts and updates as they occur. If you're an investor with all of your assets tied up in the stock market and cash, you might want to consider a few diversification strategies. Gold is the oldest asset in the world and it's inflation proof. Bitcoin is the gold standard for the cryptocurrency world, which is the fastest growing asset class in the world. Diversifying your portfolio into one or both of these assets can help to insure your portfolio against a stock market crash or inflation. Most importantly, it can help to safeguard the gains you've made over the last 10 years.

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